Britain is planning for the worst, like week-long blackouts

The energy crisis is pushing the British authorities, heavily dependent on imports, to prepare for the worst.

A dark scenario. According to information from Guardian, UK authorities are preparing for a complicated winter on the energy side – with an average increase of 50% in electricity bills – predicting the worst by testing different scenarios. Some of them are very hard. In a model called the “reasonable disaster scenario,” they envision weeks-long power outages.

“All sectors would be severely disrupted, including communications, transport networks, energy, food and water supplies,” explains an internal document consulted by Guardian.

Very pessimistic forecasts

The priorities in the event of such an event will be access to food, water and housing for the oldest and youngest populations as well as for caregivers.

The forecasts are much more pessimistic than those made by the UK grid. The latter explained that at worst there could be cuts of three hours on British territory. They would be evenly distributed in the country and would occur every day; the frequency of their occurrence depends on the severity of the supply problems.

In the event of a blackout, residents and businesses will be informed 24 hours in advance. In addition to the one-week shutdown, an agreement between Ofgem, the energy regulator, and the National Grid stipulates that power must be restored.

Hostile condition or flood

The Yarrow program – the name of the program that brings together the models currently being tested by the government – makes several assumptions and scenarios that could lead to major cuts: floods destroying strategic infrastructure, lightning striking an installation, or a second attack from a hostile side. state about submarine cables, while Russia accuses Britain of sabotaging the Nord Stream gas pipeline.

The plan therefore predates the energy crisis caused by the invasion of Ukraine, but has taken on new significance with skyrocketing energy prices and difficulties with gas and electricity supplies – the United Kingdom of Great Britain remains highly dependent on France and its nuclear fleet, today in difficulties.

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